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"Dr Khunying Porntip Rojanasunan is the Director of Thailand's Central Institute of Forensic Science, an independent laboratory under the Ministry of Justice which she co-founded in 2002. She has received many awards for her contributions to Thai society and was conferred the honorific title of Khunying by the King of Thailand in 2003. In 2010 she was voted the most trustworthy person in Thailand in the Reader's Digest Trust Survey 2010. She has also been named an outstanding defender of human rights." (from the back cover of her book The Dead Do Talk published by Marshal Cavendish International, 2012). Pornthip will discuss her recent work in the Deep South.

Binita Paudel will fit a model to child mortality data from the 2005 Thai Verbal Autopsy (VA) sample, and use it to estimate numbers of child deaths in Thailand for years 1996-2009 due to perinatal, congenital and other causes.

Nuntaporn will develop a similar model for ages 5+ in the VA sample, showing the extent to which deaths in Thailand due to transport accidents, other injuries and suicide are substantially under-reported.

Nattakit will continue the story, thus estimating deaths in Thailand from liver, other digestive, lung, and other cancers, and to IHD, stroke, & other circulatory diseases.

Kanoktip will lead off the session after lunch by showing trends in deaths from "internal causes" (digestive, genito-urinary, endocrine and mental & nervous system diseases).

Reliable estimates suggest that more than 600,000 people in Thailand died prematurely due to HIV, but the vast majority of these deaths were not reported as such. Amornrat will unweave the HIV epidemic.

Why do male deaths in Thailand in recent years exceed those of females by 40% when only 5% more males are born each year? Arinda will address this and similar inequality questions.

Despite recent disastrous floods around the world, the monsoon didn't come in Chiang Mai last year. Was this predictable? Mayuening will show how rainfall varied over Thailand since 2000.

Global warming is a hot issue today. What effects do clouds have? To find out, Jaruek and Chaloemchon are analysing daily solar energy amounts absorbed by clouds above six cities in Thailand.

The CRU database has monthly temperature averages from 1860 for 2592 5o by 5o grid boxes covering the Earth. Suree and Cherdchai are fitting predictive models to data in the tropical zones..

...and Wandee is focusing on the polar regions. The data are autocorrelated in time with regions spatially correlated. But factor analysis & multivariate regression make the picture much clearer.

Dept of Mathematics & Computer Science, Faculty of Science & Technology, PSU Dept of Languages & Social Science, Faculty of Industrial Education, KMIT

Last updated: April 23, 2013